Despite Red Bull having comfortably won as a team, the fact that it is Ferrari's Fernando Alonso who is leading the points table for the Driver's title while his team just stands third throws up a possibility of a repeat of the 2007 season. Three years ago, McLaren which treated its drivers equally saw the Alonso-Hamilton battle leading to Ferrari's Kimi Raikkonen seizing the title by a whisker.
Surely, the Scuderia is clear about the choice of driver to throw their weight behind. This time, they are doing it with Alonso; the disgusting team orders fiasco at Hockenheim is just the evidence. The pittance of a penalty on Ferrari is nothing more than a slap on the wrist by the FIA. What a shame!
If Alonso wins this year's title, with a margin less than 7 points, Red Bull would turn out to be sore losers for having followed the rule book to the tee leaving them licking their wounds while rivals Ferrari & Alonso celebrate their title. But, Alonso’s possible third title can get him in the league of all time greats, albeit on a crutch!
Hockenheim must have had a dampening effect on
With reigning Champion Button out of mathematical contention after
So, how does the math work out for the title contenders?
For Alonso, (i) a win at the Abu Dhabi GP or (ii) a 2nd despite Webber winning can seal the deal. The more complex ones arise when he (iii) finishes 3rd or 4h with Webber 2nd or worse even if Vettel wins; (iv) finishes 5th with either Red Bull drivers not winning; (v) finishes 6th with Webber 3rd or worse & Vettel 2nd or worse; (vi) comes 7th or 8th with Webber 4th or worse & Vettel 2nd or worse; (vii) ninth with Webber 5th or worse & Vettel 3rd or worse (viii) tenth with Webber 6th or worse, Vettel 3rd or worse, despite Hamilton winning and lastly (ix) doesn't score a point with Webber 6th or worse, Vettel 3rd or worse and Hamilton not winning.
Webber, can have a shot at reaching his career peak if he (i) wins the race and Alonso is 3rd or worse; (ii) second with Alonso 6th or below & Vettel doesn't win; (iii) third with Alonso 7th or below & Vettel doesn't win; or (iii) fourth with Alonso 9th or worse and Vettel doesn't win and if he (iv) comes 5th and Alonso ninth or out of points finish.
Vettel can clinch the title and be the only the second German driver to win a Formula 1 title if he (i) wins the race with Webber 2nd or worse & Alonso is 5th or worse; or (ii) comes 2nd with Webber 5th or below & Alonso 9th or worse.
A glance at the possible outcomes seems as if the odds are in favor of Fernando Alonso. But, one can never predict technical shenanigans or other racing incidents that may spring a surprise. Let just hope that the best of them wins!